USWW Aurora Watch — Aurora likely — G3+ watch active

Why We're Watching

NOAA SWPC currently reports aurora likely — g3+ watch active. The USWW advisor classified this as tier likely (confidence low).

Current Space Weather Conditions

• Kp now: 5.0
• DSCOVR Bz (latest): 0.8 nT
• DSCOVR solar wind speed: 598 km/s
• OVATION max probability (41–45°N view line): 0%
• OVATION max probability (Delmarva 37–40°N): 0%

Delmarva Visibility Outlook

At Delmarva's latitude (~38–39°N), aurora is a low-horizon event. We do not see overhead pillars; the realistic outcome is a faint green or pink glow low on the northern horizon. A phone camera in night mode (3–10s exposure) will typically record color before the naked eye picks it up.

Best Viewing Locations

• Cape Henlopen State Park (DE)
• Assateague Island (MD/VA)
• Inland eastern-shore farmland with a dark north horizon

Avoid: Wilmington, Salisbury, and the OC boardwalk — too much light pollution to see anything subtle.

Photographing the Aurora From Delmarva

Phone night mode, 3–10 second exposure, ISO 1600–3200 if shooting manual, infinity focus, brace on a tripod or solid surface.

What Could Make This Fizzle

If the interplanetary magnetic field turns northward, solar wind slows, the predicted CME passes south of Earth, or NOAA downgrades the geomagnetic alert, the visible aurora can disappear within minutes. Treat this as a watch, not a promise.

Bottom Line

Aurora likely — G3+ watch active Forecasts can weaken before nightfall. We will update if conditions strengthen or fade.

— US Weather Warriors 🌌

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